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TROPICAL STORM FAY PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT THU SEP 05 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  93.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7PM CDT SUN SEP  8 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
28.8N  94.2W      51  X  X  X 51   GALVESTON TX      40  X  X  X 40
29.5N  95.0W      35  X  1  X 36   FREEPORT TX       32  1  X  X 33
30.0N  95.5W      25  3  1  X 29   PORT O CONNOR TX  17  3  1  1 22
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  X  2  2   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   4  6  2  3 15
PENSACOLA FL       X  X  1  2  3   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  1  5  6
MOBILE AL          X  1  2  2  5   GULF 28N 89W       X  1  X  2  3
GULFPORT MS        X  3  3  2  8   GULF 28N 91W      10  2  X  1 13
BURAS LA           1  4  2  2  9   GULF 28N 93W      99  X  X  X 99
NEW ORLEANS LA     3  6  2  2 13   GULF 28N 95W      33  X  X  X 33
NEW IBERIA LA     18  2  2  X 22   GULF 27N 96W       7  2  2  2 13
PORT ARTHUR TX    34  X  1  X 35   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  X  3  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7PM FRI TO  7AM SAT
C FROM  7AM SAT TO  7PM SAT
D FROM  7PM SAT TO  7PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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