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TROPICAL STORM FAY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT THU SEP 05 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7PM CDT SUN SEP 8 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
28.8N 94.2W 51 X X X 51 GALVESTON TX 40 X X X 40
29.5N 95.0W 35 X 1 X 36 FREEPORT TX 32 1 X X 33
30.0N 95.5W 25 3 1 X 29 PORT O CONNOR TX 17 3 1 1 22
MMSO 238N 982W X X X 2 2 CORPUSCHRISTI TX 4 6 2 3 15
PENSACOLA FL X X 1 2 3 BROWNSVILLE TX X X 1 5 6
MOBILE AL X 1 2 2 5 GULF 28N 89W X 1 X 2 3
GULFPORT MS X 3 3 2 8 GULF 28N 91W 10 2 X 1 13
BURAS LA 1 4 2 2 9 GULF 28N 93W 99 X X X 99
NEW ORLEANS LA 3 6 2 2 13 GULF 28N 95W 33 X X X 33
NEW IBERIA LA 18 2 2 X 22 GULF 27N 96W 7 2 2 2 13
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X 1 X 35 GULF 25N 96W X X X 3 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7PM FRI TO 7AM SAT
C FROM 7AM SAT TO 7PM SAT
D FROM 7PM SAT TO 7PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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