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TROPICAL DEPRESSION EDOUARD PROBABILITIES NUMBER  18
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT THU SEP 05 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  84.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT SUN SEP  8 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
28.5N  87.0W      42  X  X  X 42   BURAS LA          15 10  1  1 27
29.0N  88.5W      26  3  1  X 30   NEW ORLEANS LA     6 15  2  1 24
30.0N  89.5W      12 12  1  1 26   NEW IBERIA LA      1 12  4  3 20
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  1  1  2   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  3  6  5 14
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  1  3  4   GALVESTON TX       X  1  5  5 11
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  3  3   FREEPORT TX        X  X  3  6  9
VENICE FL          1  X  1  X  2   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  1  5  6
TAMPA FL           3  1  1  1  6   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  X  3  3
CEDAR KEY FL      64  X  X  X 64   GULF 29N 85W      99  X  X  X 99
ST MARKS FL       24  X  1  X 25   GULF 29N 87W      41  X  X  X 41
APALACHICOLA FL   48  X  X  X 48   GULF 28N 89W      20  4  X  1 25
PANAMA CITY FL    33  X  1  X 34   GULF 28N 91W       3 11  2  2 18
PENSACOLA FL      19  3  1  1 24   GULF 28N 93W       X  4  4  4 12
MOBILE AL         14  7  2  1 24   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  3  4  7
GULFPORT MS       12 10  2  1 25   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X  3  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
C FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
D FROM  8PM SAT TO  8PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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