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TROPICAL DEPRESSION EDOUARD PROBABILITIES NUMBER  17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT THU SEP 05 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  83.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT SUN SEP  8 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
28.7N  86.5W      50  X  X  X 50   BURAS LA          10 12  2  1 25
29.0N  88.0W      26  2  X  1 29   NEW ORLEANS LA     3 15  4  1 23
30.0N  89.5W       8 14  2  1 25   NEW IBERIA LA      X 10  8  2 20
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  1  X  1  2   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  2  8  5 15
JACKSONVILLE FL    1  1  X  2  4   GALVESTON TX       X  1  5  6 12
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  2  2   FREEPORT TX        X  X  4  6 10
FT MYERS FL        X  1  X  1  2   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  1  5  6
VENICE FL          3  1  X  1  5   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  X  4  4
TAMPA FL          21  X  X  X 21   GULF 29N 85W      80  X  X  X 80
CEDAR KEY FL      99  X  X  X 99   GULF 29N 87W      40  X  X  X 40
ST MARKS FL       30  X  X  X 30   GULF 28N 89W      15  6  1  1 23
APALACHICOLA FL   52  X  X  X 52   GULF 28N 91W       2 10  3  2 17
PANAMA CITY FL    33  X  1  X 34   GULF 28N 93W       X  4  5  4 13
PENSACOLA FL      18  4  1  1 24   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  3  5  8
MOBILE AL         11  9  3  1 24   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  1  3  4
GULFPORT MS        8 13  2  2 25
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
C FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
D FROM  2PM SAT TO  2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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