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TROPICAL DEPRESSION EDOUARD PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT THU SEP 05 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT SUN SEP 8 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
28.5N 85.3W 42 X X X 42 NEW ORLEANS LA X 2 8 7 17
28.6N 86.4W 27 1 X X 28 NEW IBERIA LA X X 4 10 14
29.0N 88.0W 6 10 3 2 21 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 9 9
JACKSONVILLE FL 4 1 X 1 6 GALVESTON TX X X X 7 7
SAVANNAH GA X X 1 1 2 FREEPORT TX X X X 6 6
VENICE FL 3 1 X X 4 PORT O CONNOR TX X X X 4 4
TAMPA FL 99 X X X 99 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X X X 2 2
CEDAR KEY FL 99 X X X 99 GULF 29N 85W 50 X X X 50
ST MARKS FL 35 X X X 35 GULF 29N 87W 19 4 1 1 25
APALACHICOLA FL 41 X X X 41 GULF 28N 89W 1 8 6 2 17
PANAMA CITY FL 30 1 X X 31 GULF 28N 91W X 1 6 7 14
PENSACOLA FL 8 9 3 1 21 GULF 28N 93W X X 1 9 10
MOBILE AL 1 9 7 3 20 GULF 28N 95W X X X 6 6
GULFPORT MS X 6 9 4 19 GULF 27N 96W X X X 3 3
BURAS LA X 5 9 4 18
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM FRI TO 8PM FRI
C FROM 8PM FRI TO 8AM SAT
D FROM 8AM SAT TO 8AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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