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TROPICAL DEPRESSION EDOUARD PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT THU SEP 05 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.9 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT SUN SEP 8 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
28.7N 83.6W 49 X X X 49 PANAMA CITY FL 14 6 2 1 23
28.8N 84.8W 26 1 1 X 28 PENSACOLA FL 1 7 6 5 19
29.2N 85.9W 12 7 2 1 22 MOBILE AL X 2 7 8 17
FT PIERCE FL 2 X X 1 3 GULFPORT MS X 1 5 9 15
COCOA BEACH FL 9 1 X X 10 BURAS LA X X 5 9 14
DAYTONA BEACH FL 99 X X X 99 NEW ORLEANS LA X X 2 10 12
JACKSONVILLE FL 53 1 X X 54 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 9 9
SAVANNAH GA 1 3 2 3 9 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 4 4
CHARLESTON SC X X 1 2 3 GALVESTON TX X X X 3 3
MARCO ISLAND FL 2 1 X X 3 FREEPORT TX X X X 2 2
FT MYERS FL 7 1 1 X 9 GULF 29N 85W 24 2 X 1 27
VENICE FL 18 1 X X 19 GULF 29N 87W 2 10 4 3 19
TAMPA FL 50 X X X 50 GULF 28N 89W X 1 6 6 13
CEDAR KEY FL 99 X X X 99 GULF 28N 91W X X 1 8 9
ST MARKS FL 34 1 X X 35 GULF 28N 93W X X X 5 5
APALACHICOLA FL 23 2 1 1 27 GULF 28N 95W X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM FRI TO 2PM FRI
C FROM 2PM FRI TO 2AM SAT
D FROM 2AM SAT TO 2AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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