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TROPICAL DEPRESSION EDOUARD PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT THU SEP 05 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  81.9 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT SUN SEP  8 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
28.7N  83.6W      49  X  X  X 49   PANAMA CITY FL    14  6  2  1 23
28.8N  84.8W      26  1  1  X 28   PENSACOLA FL       1  7  6  5 19
29.2N  85.9W      12  7  2  1 22   MOBILE AL          X  2  7  8 17
FT PIERCE FL       2  X  X  1  3   GULFPORT MS        X  1  5  9 15
COCOA BEACH FL     9  1  X  X 10   BURAS LA           X  X  5  9 14
DAYTONA BEACH FL  99  X  X  X 99   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  2 10 12
JACKSONVILLE FL   53  1  X  X 54   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X  9  9
SAVANNAH GA        1  3  2  3  9   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  4  4
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  1  2  3   GALVESTON TX       X  X  X  3  3
MARCO ISLAND FL    2  1  X  X  3   FREEPORT TX        X  X  X  2  2
FT MYERS FL        7  1  1  X  9   GULF 29N 85W      24  2  X  1 27
VENICE FL         18  1  X  X 19   GULF 29N 87W       2 10  4  3 19
TAMPA FL          50  X  X  X 50   GULF 28N 89W       X  1  6  6 13
CEDAR KEY FL      99  X  X  X 99   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  1  8  9
ST MARKS FL       34  1  X  X 35   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  5  5
APALACHICOLA FL   23  2  1  1 27   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
C FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
D FROM  2AM SAT TO  2AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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