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TROPICAL DEPRESSION EDOUARD PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT WED SEP 04 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.4 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT SAT SEP 7 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
28.7N 83.0W 43 X X X 43 ST MARKS FL 23 2 1 X 26
28.7N 84.0W 28 1 X 1 30 APALACHICOLA FL 15 5 2 1 23
28.9N 85.0W 15 5 2 1 23 PANAMA CITY FL 7 8 3 3 21
W PALM BEACH FL X 1 X 1 2 PENSACOLA FL X 4 6 7 17
FT PIERCE FL 3 1 1 1 6 MOBILE AL X 1 4 10 15
COCOA BEACH FL 16 X X 1 17 GULFPORT MS X X 3 10 13
DAYTONA BEACH FL 99 X X X 99 BURAS LA X X 2 10 12
JACKSONVILLE FL 53 X X X 53 NEW ORLEANS LA X X 1 9 10
SAVANNAH GA 3 4 2 3 12 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 6 6
CHARLESTON SC X 1 1 3 5 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 2 2
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 2 2 GULF 29N 85W 15 5 2 1 23
MARCO ISLAND FL 2 1 1 1 5 GULF 29N 87W X 6 6 6 18
FT MYERS FL 6 2 1 1 10 GULF 28N 89W X X 3 9 12
VENICE FL 14 2 X 1 17 GULF 28N 91W X X X 7 7
TAMPA FL 31 X X X 31 GULF 28N 93W X X X 3 3
CEDAR KEY FL 49 X X X 49
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM THU TO 8AM FRI
C FROM 8AM FRI TO 8PM FRI
D FROM 8PM FRI TO 8PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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