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TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT TUE SEP 03 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF EDOUARD WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.1 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT FRI SEP 6 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
28.9N 81.3W 45 X X X 45 FT MYERS FL 5 6 2 2 15
28.6N 82.3W 28 1 1 X 30 VENICE FL 7 8 2 1 18
28.5N 83.4W 11 8 2 2 23 TAMPA FL 18 4 1 1 24
MYGF 266N 787W 1 X 1 1 3 CEDAR KEY FL 21 4 1 1 27
MARATHON FL X 1 1 1 3 ST MARKS FL 4 10 3 4 21
MIAMI FL 1 2 1 2 6 APALACHICOLA FL 1 8 5 5 19
W PALM BEACH FL 6 2 1 1 10 PANAMA CITY FL X 5 6 6 17
FT PIERCE FL 18 1 X 1 20 PENSACOLA FL X X 3 10 13
COCOA BEACH FL 33 X X X 33 MOBILE AL X X 1 9 10
DAYTONA BEACH FL 54 X X X 54 GULFPORT MS X X X 9 9
JACKSONVILLE FL 38 1 X X 39 BURAS LA X X X 8 8
SAVANNAH GA 12 3 2 1 18 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 6 6
CHARLESTON SC 1 3 3 3 10 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 3 3
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X 2 3 5 GULF 29N 85W X 9 5 5 19
WILMINGTON NC X X X 2 2 GULF 29N 87W X 1 4 9 14
KEY WEST FL X 1 1 2 4 GULF 28N 89W X X 1 8 9
MARCO ISLAND FL 1 5 3 2 11 GULF 28N 91W X X X 5 5
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM WED TO 8AM THU
C FROM 8AM THU TO 8PM THU
D FROM 8PM THU TO 8PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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