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TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT MON SEP 02 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF EDOUARD WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.9 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT THU SEP 5 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
30.9N 78.9W 99 X X X 99 KEY WEST FL X X X 4 4
31.0N 79.4W 99 X X X 99 MARCO ISLAND FL X X 2 5 7
30.7N 80.0W 99 X X X 99 FT MYERS FL X 1 2 6 9
MUHA 230N 824W X X X 2 2 VENICE FL X 2 4 5 11
MYAK 241N 776W X X X 2 2 TAMPA FL 1 5 4 5 15
MYNN 251N 775W X X X 3 3 CEDAR KEY FL 2 8 4 3 17
MYGF 266N 787W X 1 X 6 7 ST MARKS FL 1 7 5 4 17
MARATHON FL X X X 4 4 APALACHICOLA FL X 5 5 5 15
MIAMI FL X X 1 5 6 PANAMA CITY FL X 3 6 5 14
W PALM BEACH FL 1 1 1 6 9 PENSACOLA FL X 1 3 6 10
FT PIERCE FL 6 1 2 4 13 MOBILE AL X X 2 6 8
COCOA BEACH FL 11 2 2 2 17 GULFPORT MS X X 1 6 7
DAYTONA BEACH FL 14 3 2 2 21 BURAS LA X X 1 5 6
JACKSONVILLE FL 13 5 2 2 22 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 5 5
SAVANNAH GA 12 5 2 2 21 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 3 3
CHARLESTON SC 11 4 2 2 19 GULF 29N 85W X 4 5 5 14
MYRTLE BEACH SC 6 4 2 3 15 GULF 29N 87W X 1 4 6 11
WILMINGTON NC 2 3 3 3 11 GULF 28N 89W X X 1 6 7
MOREHEAD CITY NC X 2 3 3 8 GULF 28N 91W X X X 4 4
CAPE HATTERAS NC X 1 1 3 5 GULF 28N 93W X X X 2 2
NORFOLK VA X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM TUE TO 2AM WED
C FROM 2AM WED TO 2PM WED
D FROM 2PM WED TO 2PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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