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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SUN SEP 01 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT WED SEP  4 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
30.6N  80.4W      72  X  X  X 72   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  1  4  5
31.2N  80.5W      53  X  X  X 53   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  3  3
31.7N  80.4W      35  X  X  X 35   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  2  2
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  1  3  4   VENICE FL          X  X  X  3  3
MIAMI FL           X  X  X  2  2   TAMPA FL           X  1  1  3  5
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  1  2  3   CEDAR KEY FL       1  3  2  3  9
FT PIERCE FL       X  1  1  4  6   ST MARKS FL        1  4  3  3 11
COCOA BEACH FL     3  2  1  3  9   APALACHICOLA FL    X  1  2  4  7
DAYTONA BEACH FL  16  1  1  1 19   PANAMA CITY FL     X  1  2  3  6
JACKSONVILLE FL   31  1  X  X 32   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  1  3  4
SAVANNAH GA       23  2  1  X 26   MOBILE AL          X  X  X  3  3
CHARLESTON SC      6  8  3  2 19   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  2  2
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  5  5  5 15   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  1  4  5
WILMINGTON NC      X  1  5  5 11   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  2  2
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  2  6  8
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
C FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
D FROM  8PM TUE TO  8PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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