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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN SEP 01 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT WED SEP  4 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
30.0N  80.6W      63  X  X  X 63   NORFOLK VA         X  X  1  5  6
30.6N  80.7W      46  X  X  X 46   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  2  2
31.7N  80.6W      23  2  1  1 27   FT MYERS FL        X  X  1  2  3
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  2  2   VENICE FL          1  X  1  2  4
W PALM BEACH FL    1  X  1  1  3   TAMPA FL           5  2  1  2 10
FT PIERCE FL      16  X  X  1 17   CEDAR KEY FL      10  3  1  1 15
COCOA BEACH FL    37  X  X  X 37   ST MARKS FL        3  6  3  2 14
DAYTONA BEACH FL  47  X  X  X 47   APALACHICOLA FL    1  3  3  3 10
JACKSONVILLE FL   32  1  X  X 33   PANAMA CITY FL     X  2  3  4  9
SAVANNAH GA       15  5  2  2 24   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  2  4  6
CHARLESTON SC      5  9  4  3 21   MOBILE AL          X  X  1  3  4
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  8  6  4 18   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  3  3
WILMINGTON NC      X  3  7  5 15   BURAS LA           X  X  X  2  2
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  1  5  6 12   GULF 29N 85W       X  3  1  4  8
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  3  6  9   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  1  3  4
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
C FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
D FROM  2PM TUE TO  2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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