HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SAT AUG 31 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  41.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST TUE SEP  3 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
14.2N  46.2W      46  X  X  X 46   16.5N  50.0W       X 26  1  1 28
15.5N  48.7W       9 25  X  1 35
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
C FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
D FROM  2AM MON TO  2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
NNNN