HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST FRI AUG 30 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  37.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST MON SEP  2 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
11.0N  42.0W      45  X  X  X 45   12.5N  47.0W       X 18  8  1 27
11.8N  44.5W      13 21  X  X 34
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
C FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
D FROM  8AM SUN TO  8AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
NNNN