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TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT WED AUG 07 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  75.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT SAT AUG 10 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
34.0N  70.0W      28  8  X  X 36   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  5  X  5
38.0N  66.0W       1 23  7  X 31   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  2  X  2
43.0N  59.0W       X  1 17  X 18   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  3  X  3
HALIFAX NS         X  X  3  X  3   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  5  X  5
SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X 15  X 15   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  4  X  4
SYDNEY NS          X  X  4  X  4
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
C FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
D FROM  2PM FRI TO  2PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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