[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT TUE AUG 06 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  76.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT FRI AUG  9 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
30.0N  74.0W      32  1  1  X 34   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  5  5
30.5N  71.5W       4 19  6  X 29   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  6  6
35.0N  66.5W       X  X 14  6 20   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  7  7
BERMUDA            X  X  5  2  7   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  9  9
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  1  1  2   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X 12 12
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  2  2   SYDNEY NS          X  X  X  9  9
PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  3  3   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  9  9
NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  4  4   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X  7  7
HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  4  4   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X  7  7
BOSTON MA          X  X  X  3  3   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  8  8
PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  3  3   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X  6  6
BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  4  4   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  X  3  3
EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  5  5
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
C FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
D FROM  8AM THU TO  8AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
NNNN


Problems?