HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT MON AUG 05 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  76.9 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT THU AUG  8 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
31.2N  75.2W      30  1  X  X 31   SAVANNAH GA        X  1  1  2  4
30.9N  74.0W      16  5  1  1 23   CHARLESTON SC      1  2  1  2  6
31.0N  72.0W       1 10  4  2 17   MYRTLE BEACH SC    1  2  1  3  7
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  1  1  2   WILMINGTON NC      1  2  1  3  7
BERMUDA            X  X  1  9 10   MOREHEAD CITY NC   1  2  1  4  8
FT PIERCE FL       X  1  1  X  2   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  1  2  5  8
COCOA BEACH FL     X  1  1  1  3   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  4  4
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  1  2  1  4   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  3  3
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  1  1  1  3   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
C FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
D FROM  2PM WED TO  2PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
NNNN