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TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT MON JUL 15 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ARTHUR WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 37.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  67.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT THU JUL 18 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
41.3N  59.1W      21  1  1  X 23   YARMOUTH NS        X  2  3  3  8
43.5N  58.9W      11  6  1  1 19   HALIFAX NS         1  6  3  2 12
45.3N  58.5W       3 10  2  2 17   SABLE ISLAND NS    9  7  1  1 18
NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  2  2   SYDNEY NS          1  9  3  3 16
HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  2  2   EDDY POINT NS      2  8  3  2 15
PORTLAND ME        X  X  1  1  2   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  7  4  3 14
BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  2  2  4   BURGEO NFLD        X  7  4  3 14
EASTPORT ME        X  1  2  3  6   ILE ST PIERRE      X  7  4  3 14
ST JOHN NB         X  2  3  3  8   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  2  4  4 10
MONCTON NB         X  3  4  3 10   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  1  3  4
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
C FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
D FROM  2PM WED TO  2PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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