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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1602
1500Z THU NOV 14 2002
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 111.3W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 111.3W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 111.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.0N 112.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 16.0N 114.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.0N 116.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 111.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 16.0N 117.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 16.0N 121.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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