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HURRICANE KENNA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1402
0900Z FRI OCT 25 2002
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
MEXICO FROM MAZATLAN SOUTHWARD TO LA FORTUNA...INCLUDING ISLAS
MARIAS.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF LA FORTUNA
TO MANZANILLO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD
BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 107.0W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  915 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 145 KT WITH GUSTS TO 175 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  75SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 175SE 150SW 175NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 107.0W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 107.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 21.5N 105.5W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 25.2N 101.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 29.5N  94.9W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N 107.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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