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HURRICANE KENNA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1402
2100Z THU OCT 24 2002
 
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
MEXICO FROM MAZATLAN SOUTHWARD TO LA FORTUNA...INCLUDING ISLAS
MARIAS.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF LA FORTUNA
TO MANZANILLO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KENNA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 108.7W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  915 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  75SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 175SE 150SW 175NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 108.7W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 108.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 19.2N 108.2W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 21.3N 106.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 24.0N 103.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 108.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 27.5N  99.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z...INLAND
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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