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HURRICANE KENNA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1402
1500Z THU OCT 24 2002
 
AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM MAZATLAN
SOUTHWARD TO LA FORTUNA...INCLUDING THE MARIAS ISLANDS.  A HURRICANE
WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
AT 8 AM PDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FROM SOUTH OF LA FORTUNA TO MANZANILLO.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KENNA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 108.7W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  945 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 175SE 150SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 108.7W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 108.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.2N 108.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 20.0N 107.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 22.0N 105.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 108.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 24.5N 102.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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