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TROPICAL STORM KENNA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1402
0900Z TUE OCT 22 2002
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 100.8W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 100.8W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 100.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 12.3N 102.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 13.0N 104.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 13.8N 105.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N 100.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 14.8N 107.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 17.0N 107.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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