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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1402
0300Z TUE OCT 22 2002
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 100.0W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 100.0W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N  99.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 12.3N 101.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 13.1N 103.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 13.6N 105.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N 100.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 14.3N 106.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 15.5N 108.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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