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TROPICAL DEPRESSION JULIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1302
0900Z THU SEP 26 2002
 
AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 103.9W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 103.9W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 103.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 19.8N 105.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 20.7N 106.1W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 21.6N 107.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 103.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 22.5N 108.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 23.0N 110.5W...NEAR BAJA CALIFORNIA 
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN/COBB
 
 
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