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TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1302
1500Z WED SEP 25 2002
 
AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM ZIHUATANEJO TO PUNTA SAN
TELMO...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM WEST OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO
MANZANILLO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 101.9W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 101.9W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 101.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.9N 102.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  90SE  60SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 17.7N 102.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 18.3N 103.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 101.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 19.0N 105.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 21.0N 108.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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