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TROPICAL STORM ISELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1202
0900Z WED SEP 18 2002
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 114.9W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  90SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 125SE 125SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 114.9W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 114.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 22.8N 115.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  90SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 23.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 24.2N 115.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 114.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 25.0N 115.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 26.0N 116.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART/MOLLEDA
 
 
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