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TROPICAL STORM ISELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1202
0300Z WED SEP 18 2002
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 114.7W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE 120SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 125SE 125SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 114.7W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 114.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 22.4N 115.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE 120SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 23.1N 115.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 23.4N 115.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.0N 114.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 23.8N 116.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 25.0N 117.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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