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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1102
1500Z SAT SEP 07 2002
 
AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...A  TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN
BAJA PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM CABO SAN LUCAS NORTHWARD TO CABO SAN
LAZARO IS BEING DISCONTINUED.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 112.0W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 112.0W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 112.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 22.2N 112.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 23.0N 113.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 23.5N 113.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N 112.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 24.5N 114.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 26.5N 114.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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