[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1102
0900Z SAT SEP 07 2002
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN BAJA
PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM CABO SAN LUCAS NORTHWARD TO CABO SAN
LAZARO.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 111.6W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 111.6W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 111.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 22.3N 112.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 23.5N 112.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 24.8N 113.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N 111.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 26.2N 114.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 29.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART/BERG
 
 
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