HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCMEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1102
0300Z FRI SEP 06 2002
 
AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN BAJA PENINSULA OF MEXICO
FROM CABO SAN LUCAS NORTHWARD TO CABO SAN LAZARO.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 108.2W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 108.2W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 107.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 20.7N 109.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 21.8N 110.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 22.9N 112.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 108.2W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 24.2N 113.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 27.0N 115.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
NNNN