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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1102
2100Z THU SEP 05 2002
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 107.9W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 107.9W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 107.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 20.2N 109.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 21.2N 111.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 22.3N 112.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 107.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 23.5N 113.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 26.0N 116.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
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