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TROPICAL STORM HERNAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1002
2100Z WED SEP 04 2002
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 123.1W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 123.1W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 122.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 22.0N 124.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 23.5N 125.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 23.5N 125.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N 123.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 23.5N 126.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 23.5N 127.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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