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TROPICAL STORM HERNAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1002
1500Z WED SEP 04 2002
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 122.5W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 300SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 122.5W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 122.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.0N 123.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 23.0N 124.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 24.0N 125.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N 122.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 25.0N 125.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 25.5N 125.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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