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HURRICANE HERNAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1002
0300Z TUE SEP 03 2002
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 117.8W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 330SE 330SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 117.8W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 117.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.5N 119.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 170SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.7N 120.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 22.0N 122.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 130SW 130NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 117.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 23.5N 123.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 26.0N 124.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN/MOLLEDA
 
 
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