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HURRICANE HERNAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1002
0900Z SUN SEP 01 2002
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 110.6W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  931 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE 160SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..280NE 280SE 280SW 280NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 110.6W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 110.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 17.6N 112.1W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 18.2N 114.1W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.6N 116.2W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 110.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 19.1N 118.2W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 19.9N 121.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN/AGUIRRE
 
 
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