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HURRICANE HERNAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1002
2100Z SAT AUG 31 2002
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 108.3W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  962 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......140NE 140SE 140SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 175SE 140SW 175NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 108.3W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 107.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 16.3N 109.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 140SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 17.0N 112.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 140SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.5N 113.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 140SW 140NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 108.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 18.0N 115.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 140SW 140NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 18.5N 119.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 140SW 140NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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