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TROPICAL STORM ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0602
1500Z SUN JUL 28 2002
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 124.4W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..350NE 150SE 150SW 250NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 124.4W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 124.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 21.2N 125.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 22.7N 126.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 24.5N 127.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 124.4W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 26.5N 128.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 29.5N 128.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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