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TROPICAL STORM ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0602
0300Z SUN JUL 28 2002

...CORRECTED INITIAL 34 KT RADII TO INCLUDE 125 NMI ALL QUADRANTS...
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 122.8W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT.......125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..350NE 150SE 150SW 250NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 122.8W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 122.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 19.8N 124.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 21.3N 125.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 23.3N 126.2W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 122.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 25.0N 127.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 28.0N 127.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE/STEWART
 
 
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