[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCMEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0602
1500Z FRI JUL 26 2002
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 116.5W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  962 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT.......100NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 300SE 250SW 400NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 116.5W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 116.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 16.5N 118.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 17.5N 120.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.5N 122.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 116.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 20.0N 125.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...175NE 125SE  75SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 23.5N 128.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
NNNN


Webmaster