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HURRICANE ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0602
0900Z WED JUL 24 2002
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 104.4W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......200NE 125SE 100SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 104.4W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 103.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 12.6N 106.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 125SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 12.8N 109.3W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 13.0N 111.8W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 104.4W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 13.5N 114.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 14.5N 119.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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