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TROPICAL STORM ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0602
0300Z WED JUL 24 2002
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 103.0W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......200NE 100SE 100SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 125SE 125SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 103.0W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 102.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 12.5N 105.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...200NE 125SE 125SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 13.0N 107.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...200NE 125SE 125SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 13.5N 110.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 125SE 125SW 150NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N 103.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 13.9N 112.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 125SE 125SW 150NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 14.5N 117.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 125SE 125SW 150NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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