[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

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HURRICANE DOUGLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0502
1500Z WED JUL 24 2002
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 120.6W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 400SE 400SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 120.6W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 120.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 21.0N 123.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 21.0N 126.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 21.0N 130.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 120.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 21.0N 134.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 21.0N 142.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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