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HURRICANE DOUGLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0502
0900Z TUE JUL 23 2002
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 114.4W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT.......150NE 225SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 114.4W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 114.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 17.9N 115.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 150SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.6N 118.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 175SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 19.4N 120.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 150SW 175NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 114.4W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 20.0N 123.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 150SW 175NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 20.5N 128.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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