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HURRICANE DOUGLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0502
1500Z MON JUL 22 2002
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 112.5W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 250SE 200SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 112.5W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 112.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 17.7N 113.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 18.2N 115.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 18.8N 118.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 112.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 19.3N 120.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 20.0N 125.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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