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HURRICANE DOUGLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0502
0300Z MON JUL 22 2002
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 110.7W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......125NE 150SE 110SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 200SE 200SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 110.7W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 110.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 17.5N 111.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...250NE 150SE 100SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 17.8N 113.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 18.1N 115.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  75SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 110.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 18.7N 117.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 19.5N 122.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  50SE  50SW  65NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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