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TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0502
2100Z SAT JUL 20 2002

...CORRECTED TO ADD 12 FT SEAS RADII...
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 107.2W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 100SE 100SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 100SE 100SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 107.2W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 106.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 14.0N 108.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 100SE 100SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 14.5N 109.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 15.1N 110.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 107.2W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 15.5N 112.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 16.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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