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TROPICAL STORM CRISTINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0402
0300Z SUN JUL 14 2002
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 117.5W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 117.5W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 117.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 17.0N 118.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 18.3N 119.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 19.5N 120.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 117.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 20.0N 121.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 20.5N 124.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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