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HURRICANE LILI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  48
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1302
0900Z THU OCT 03 2002
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM FREEPORT TEXAS
TO HIGH ISLAND TEXAS IS DISCONTINUED.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS
TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF THE MOUTH OF
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER...INCLUDING NEW
ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N  91.7W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  957 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  90SE  40SW  80NW.
34 KT.......170NE 160SE 100SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 240SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N  91.7W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.1N  91.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 30.7N  92.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 75NE  90SE  40SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 33.4N  91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 37.5N  87.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.7N  91.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z...INLAND
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z...INLAND
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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