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HURRICANE LILI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  47
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1302
0300Z THU OCT 03 2002
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS
TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FREEPORT TO HIGH
ISLAND TEXAS...AND FROM EAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER...INCLUDING NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE
PONTCHARTRAIN.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N  90.6W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  942 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 155 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  35SE  20SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  80SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT.......170NE 160SE 100SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 130SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N  90.6W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N  90.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 29.2N  91.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  20SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 100SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 31.8N  91.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 35.2N  89.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.2N  90.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 39.7N  84.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 45.5N  72.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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