ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE LILI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 42
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL AL1302
0300Z WED OCT 02 2002
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
FROM SAN LUIS PASS TEXAS TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH
AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT EAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING NEW ORLEANS
AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A HURRICANE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE
UNITED STATES WATCH AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH COAST OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM COZUMEL TO PROGRESO.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 86.3W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 966 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE 25SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 125SE 80SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..190NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 86.3W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 85.7W
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 24.4N 88.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 80SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 26.1N 90.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 90SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 28.0N 92.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 110SW 130NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.3N 86.3W
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 30.5N 92.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 160SE 90SW 90NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 37.0N 88.5W...INLAND AND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z
FORECASTER STEWART
NNNN
Webmaster