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HURRICANE LILI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL AL1302
0900Z TUE OCT 01 2002
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE
ISLE OF YOUTH. THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR THE REMAINDER OF CUBA.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
THIS WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH COAST OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM COZUMEL TO PROGRESO.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 82.7W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 35NE 35SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 50SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 125SE 75SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 82.7W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 82.2W
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 22.2N 84.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 23.4N 86.9W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 25.0N 89.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 120NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N 82.7W
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 26.7N 91.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 120NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 31.0N 93.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW.
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z
FORECASTER PASCH
NNNN
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